Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.033033 0.038455 0.044422 0.051465 0.059542 0.068507 0.079201
2025-09-14 0.024870 0.031919 0.040391 0.051285 0.064883 0.081252 0.102408
2025-09-21 0.018895 0.026437 0.036229 0.049792 0.067999 0.091486 0.123958
2025-09-28 0.015034 0.022717 0.033401 0.049198 0.071789 0.102721 0.148026
2025-10-05 0.013157 0.021271 0.033250 0.051995 0.080298 0.121070 0.183774
2025-10-12 0.011470 0.019731 0.032615 0.053837 0.087488 0.138218 0.219698
2025-10-19 0.009461 0.017280 0.030130 0.052361 0.089283 0.147374 0.244545
2025-10-26 0.008049 0.015541 0.028468 0.051859 0.092388 0.158673 0.273691
2025-11-02 0.006740 0.013734 0.026378 0.050263 0.093349 0.166449 0.297749
2025-11-09 0.005726 0.012280 0.024665 0.049031 0.094674 0.174808 0.323430
2025-11-16 0.005031 0.011319 0.023701 0.048993 0.098045 0.186905 0.356607
2025-11-23 0.004311 0.010173 0.022199 0.047692 0.098853 0.194421 0.382216
2025-11-30 0.004007 0.009878 0.022381 0.049797 0.106546 0.215525 0.435235
2025-12-07 0.003552 0.009164 0.021589 0.049802 0.110087 0.229179 0.475637
2025-12-14 0.003055 0.008259 0.020245 0.048438 0.110645 0.237081 0.505677
2025-12-21 0.002689 0.007599 0.019342 0.047904 0.112857 0.248445 0.543628
2025-12-28 0.002574 0.007557 0.019861 0.050655 0.122502 0.275899 0.616811
2026-01-04 0.002411 0.007357 0.019974 0.052465 0.130241 0.300076 0.685347
2026-01-11 0.002097 0.006682 0.018805 0.051030 0.130382 0.307994 0.720071
2026-01-18 0.001869 0.006204 0.018064 0.050543 0.132670 0.320786 0.766473
2026-01-25 0.001625 0.005627 0.016966 0.048987 0.132180 0.327278 0.799459
2026-02-01 0.001426 0.005147 0.016055 0.047785 0.132406 0.335390 0.836783
2026-02-08 0.001293 0.004847 0.015601 0.047748 0.135563 0.350612 0.891788